Cities 50 cities · day 2026-09-28 · 50 with a market price · prices 2 min ago · forecasts revised up to 3 h ago

Every city Polymarket lists a temperature market for, in two sections because the markets are quoted in different units. market is what Polymarket's odds imply right now, models the average of each model's newest forecast, gap the difference, spread how far the models disagree with each other: read the spread first. How to read this board.

day |metric highest lowest|sort biggest gap name models unsure

Markets measured in Celsius 39 cities · exact strikes, 1 degree apart

swipe the table sideways for every column

city	market	models	gap	spread	models used
Wuhan	24.4	27.8	-3.35	5.5	8
Jinan	24.2	26.8	-2.59	3.7	8
Buenos Aires	20.5	18.4	+2.04	2.3	8
Taipei	36.5	34.5	+2.00	4.3	8
Karachi	32.5	30.7	+1.86	4.5	8
Madrid	26.3	24.5	+1.77	5.4	10
Tel Aviv	30.5	29.0	+1.43	2.1	8
Qingdao	25.5	24.2	+1.30	2.9	8
Ankara	15.8	17.1	-1.28	1.9	9
Hong Kong	32.5	31.2	+1.23	3.7	8
Busan	26.1	24.9	+1.20	2.2	9
Cape Town	23.7	22.5	+1.16	3.5	8
Guangzhou	35.5	34.4	+1.16	4.3	8
Munich	25.7	24.6	+1.16	4.8	9
Warsaw	21.2	20.1	+1.07	2.6	9
Mexico City	25.6	24.6	+1.06	5.3	8
Panama City	30.6	29.6	+1.01	2.0	8
Tokyo	25.5	24.6	+0.95	5.1	9
Jeddah	35.7	34.8	+0.88	6.3	8
Wellington	15.4	14.5	+0.86	2.3	8
Helsinki	15.4	14.5	+0.85	1.6	10
Beijing	25.4	24.7	+0.71	2.9	8
Milan	25.7	25.0	+0.70	3.9	10
Toronto	20.9	20.3	+0.64	6.1	13
Sao Paulo	30.6	29.9	+0.63	7.4	8
Chongqing	28.4	27.9	+0.50	3.0	8
Zhengzhou	23.3	22.9	+0.47	2.5	8
Amsterdam	20.6	20.2	+0.43	2.2	10
Moscow	15.2	15.6	-0.40	3.6	9
London	19.3	19.1	+0.26	3.2	10
Istanbul	19.5	19.3	+0.17	1.4	9
Paris	23.8	23.6	+0.17	4.3	10
Kuala Lumpur	33.5	33.4	+0.16	3.7	8
Chengdu	25.2	25.1	+0.15	3.5	8
Shanghai	26.2	26.4	-0.14	3.5	8
Lucknow	31.2	31.3	-0.12	3.9	8
Shenzhen	32.5	32.4	+0.10	3.1	8
Manila	32.1	32.0	+0.09	3.6	8
Singapore	30.3	30.4	-0.06	3.6	8

Markets measured in Fahrenheit 11 cities · two-degree buckets

swipe the table sideways for every column

city	market	models	gap	spread	models used
Chicago	73.0	68.7	+4.26	11.3	11
Los Angeles	77.7	81.1	-3.40	5.4	11
Miami	88.7	86.1	+2.61	2.9	11
Dallas	92.7	91.0	+1.64	12.1	11
Austin	96.6	95.0	+1.61	10.3	11
Atlanta	81.7	80.2	+1.53	9.0	11
Denver	74.4	75.5	-1.17	10.8	11
San Francisco	70.1	69.0	+1.08	9.2	11
Houston	91.9	91.4	+0.53	6.1	11
Seattle	66.0	65.6	+0.42	6.5	13
New York City	62.9	62.6	+0.30	5.9	11

A dash means no price was recorded for that city and day. A figure marked settled is the outcome the market has already priced, not a forecast.